Accrue
Log inGet Access

Nomok

0x4bcc43...1db155
Smart Score
37
Win Rate
40.0%
Total P&L
+$21
Trade Count
16
Sharpe Ratio
0.12
Sortino Ratio
0.25
Max Drawdown
27.1%
ROI
10.9%
Profit Factor
1.53
Kelly Fraction
0.138
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
037/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY85.0¢58.824Mar 5
Will "Scream 7" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?SELL0.5¢1,186.84Mar 2
Will "Scream 7" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.4¢1,186.847Mar 1
Will "Scream 7" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY1.5¢688.844Mar 1
Will "Scream 7" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.7¢1,464.455Mar 1
Will "Scream 7" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY1.1¢875.387Mar 1
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US before August?BUY18.0¢5.556Jul 8
Will Elon register the America Party before October?BUY47.3¢42.255Jul 8
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY67.0¢14.925Jul 8
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY28.0¢35.714Jul 8
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY67.0¢29.851Jul 8
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY45.0¢44.444Jul 8
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?SELL98.3¢6.22Jul 8
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?BUY96.5¢6.218Jul 7
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?SELL96.4¢5.7Jul 7
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?BUY96.4¢5.705Jul 7

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%31%< 10%8%10–20%8%20–30%15%30–50%15%50–70%70–80%8%80–90%15%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing37

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.04
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)33.7%
Win Consistency60.0%
Profit Factor0.96
Drawdown Resilience0.78
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.78
Weekly Sharpe est.0.59
Trading Activity16 trades · 4 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1600d profit4d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSu