-nothingburger-

0x6245ca...e9d3c0

Smart Score

Win Rate

66.3%

Total P&L

+$64.5K

Trade Count

1,000

Sharpe Ratio

0.13

Sortino Ratio

0.59

Max Drawdown

148.0%

ROI

30.7%

Profit Factor

13.30

Kelly Fraction

0.613

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

036.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?	SELL	0.2¢	109.2	Dec 31
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	BUY	93.7¢	5.432	Dec 20
EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 19?	BUY	96.7¢	5.098	Dec 15
Hailey Bieber pregnant in 2025?	SELL	98.6¢	5	Dec 13
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?	BUY	73.3¢	6.821	Dec 11
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?	SELL	98.5¢	206.18	Dec 6
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?	SELL	98.6¢	272.3	Dec 6
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?	SELL	98.2¢	407.21	Dec 6
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?	SELL	98.5¢	62	Dec 3
Will Gold close above $5000 at the end of 2025?	SELL	97.8¢	544.51	Dec 3
Will Gold close above $5000 at the end of 2025?	SELL	98.2¢	233.06	Dec 2
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?	SELL	97.5¢	200	Dec 1
Will Gold close above $5000 at the end of 2025?	SELL	97.0¢	240	Nov 25
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?	BUY	97.0¢	206.186	Nov 24
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?	BUY	95.6¢	407.218	Nov 24
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?	BUY	95.7¢	534.3	Nov 24
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?	BUY	77.0¢	330	Nov 24
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?	BUY	41.4¢	317.59	Nov 24
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-23?	BUY	53.0¢	229.981	Nov 23
Will Gold close above $5000 at the end of 2025?	SELL	97.3¢	125.27	Nov 23

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing36.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.02

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)33.4%

Win Consistency61.0%

Profit Factor0.95

Drawdown Resilience0.77

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.77

Weekly Sharpe est.0.59

Trading Activity1,000 trades · 185 active days