Accrue
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nruiedyang043

0x534b1d...75b912
Smart Score
21
Win Rate
59.1%
Total P&L
+$15
Trade Count
47
Sharpe Ratio
-1.13
Sortino Ratio
-0.82
Max Drawdown
918.9%
ROI
0.1%
Profit Factor
3.77
Kelly Fraction
0.434
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
020.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY78.9¢12.674Mar 5
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL82.6¢10.88Mar 5
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY82.7¢10.883Mar 5
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?SELL80.0¢1.01Mar 5
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?SELL80.0¢7.5Mar 5
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?SELL80.0¢0.14Mar 5
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY80.9¢8.653Mar 5
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?SELL79.8¢7.41Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL94.5¢8.46Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY94.6¢8.457Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL91.0¢5.46Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY91.5¢5.464Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL94.5¢5.28Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY94.6¢5.285Mar 4
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL78.6¢8.87Mar 4
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY78.9¢8.872Mar 4
GTA VI released before June 2026?SELL97.6¢6.13Mar 4
GTA VI released before June 2026?BUY97.8¢6.135Mar 4
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL78.7¢8.88Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1PM ETBUY99.7¢7.021Mar 4

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%10%70–80%10%80–90%80%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing20.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.13
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)18.8%
Win Consistency63.6%
Profit Factor0.54
Drawdown Resilience0.43
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.43
Weekly Sharpe est.0.33
Trading Activity47 trades · 7 active days
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