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Png19982026

0x7e0f38...47708e
Smart Score
56
Win Rate
42.9%
Total P&L
+$5.1K
Trade Count
3,810
Sharpe Ratio
2.28
Sortino Ratio
90.23
Max Drawdown
80.0%
ROI
31.3%
Profit Factor
92.29
Kelly Fraction
0.424
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
056.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?SELL74.4¢8.22Mar 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY98.8¢5Mar 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?SELL98.7¢6.04Mar 5
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?BUY83.0¢5Mar 5
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?BUY84.0¢5Mar 5
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?SELL83.0¢10Mar 5
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?SELL84.0¢5Mar 5
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?BUY83.0¢5Mar 5
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?BUY83.0¢4.11Mar 5
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?BUY83.0¢0.882Mar 5
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?SELL83.0¢5Mar 5
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?SELL74.3¢1.779Mar 5
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?BUY83.0¢5Mar 5
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?SELL83.0¢5Mar 5
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?BUY82.0¢5Mar 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?SELL98.9¢6.03Mar 5
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?SELL81.0¢5Mar 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY98.8¢5.02Mar 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY98.8¢7.05Mar 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?SELL98.8¢5Mar 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%5%< 10%17%10–20%20–30%7%30–50%16%50–70%15%70–80%9%80–90%29%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active56.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.10
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)51.3%
Win Consistency63.2%
Profit Factor1.47
Drawdown Resilience1.18
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.18
Weekly Sharpe est.0.90
Trading Activity3,810 trades · 10 active days
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P&L Calendar
$1292d profit8d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSu<