Prestonpin

0x847734...533e74

Smart Score

Win Rate

84.8%

Total P&L

-$420

Trade Count

384

Sharpe Ratio

-0.34

Sortino Ratio

-0.29

Max Drawdown

436.4%

ROI

-1.2%

Profit Factor

0.36

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March?	BUY	99.3¢	100	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in March?	BUY	99.5¢	110	Mar 5
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?	BUY	98.9¢	120	Mar 5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.7¢	130	Mar 5
Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	SELL	95.0¢	100	Feb 18
EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	SELL	97.0¢	23.67	Feb 14
EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	SELL	97.0¢	11.979	Feb 14
EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	SELL	97.0¢	4.134	Feb 14
EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	SELL	97.0¢	40.203	Feb 14
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	93.0¢	50.07	Feb 12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	93.0¢	8.581	Feb 12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	93.0¢	3.226	Feb 12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	93.0¢	78.11	Feb 12
Aztec FDV above $2B one day after launch?	SELL	98.4¢	45.41	Feb 4
Aztec FDV above $2B one day after launch?	SELL	98.4¢	1.016	Feb 4
Aztec FDV above $2B one day after launch?	SELL	98.4¢	16.717	Feb 4
Aztec FDV above $2B one day after launch?	SELL	98.4¢	1.016	Feb 3
Aztec FDV above $2B one day after launch?	SELL	98.4¢	1.016	Feb 3
Aztec FDV above $2B one day after launch?	SELL	98.4¢	1.016	Feb 3
Aztec FDV above $2B one day after launch?	SELL	98.4¢	21.545	Feb 3

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency45.8%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity384 trades · 66 active days