PrimePenguin

0x933ca0...3ba8c6

Smart Score

Win Rate

48.2%

Total P&L

+$20

Trade Count

3,886

Sharpe Ratio

0.45

Sortino Ratio

1.54

Max Drawdown

3328.6%

ROI

0.0%

Profit Factor

1.24

Kelly Fraction

0.094

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

023/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on March 5?	BUY	48.7¢	60	Mar 5
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 on March 5?	BUY	5.0¢	100	Mar 5
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?	SELL	61.0¢	12.17	Mar 5
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?	SELL	61.0¢	24.98	Mar 5
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?	SELL	61.0¢	12.85	Mar 5
Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	SELL	20.2¢	3.85	Mar 5
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on March 5?	BUY	50.0¢	28.16	Mar 5
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on March 5?	BUY	35.0¢	17	Mar 5
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on March 5?	BUY	41.0¢	10	Mar 5
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on March 5?	BUY	41.0¢	20	Mar 5
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on March 5?	BUY	37.0¢	40	Mar 5
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the March Meeting?	BUY	99.6¢	30	Mar 5
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the March Meeting?	BUY	99.6¢	70	Mar 5
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on March 5?	BUY	41.0¢	20	Mar 5
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on March 5?	BUY	46.0¢	20	Mar 5
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on March 5?	BUY	41.4¢	126	Mar 5
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on March 5?	BUY	50.0¢	90.3	Mar 4
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 2 above $185?	BUY	37.0¢	10	Mar 4
Meta (META) Up or Down on March 5?	BUY	43.0¢	41	Mar 4
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on March 5?	BUY	46.0¢	80	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing23

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.27

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)20.9%

Win Consistency56.8%

Profit Factor0.60

Drawdown Resilience0.48

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.48

Weekly Sharpe est.0.37

Trading Activity3,886 trades · 123 active days