Riskmachinna

0x3cdcab...7ccb42

Smart Score

Win Rate

41.7%

Total P&L

+$81

Trade Count

100

Sharpe Ratio

1.72

Sortino Ratio

4.18

Max Drawdown

85.5%

ROI

5.6%

Profit Factor

2.27

Kelly Fraction

0.233

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

034.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?	SELL	82.9¢	150	Mar 5
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?	BUY	83.0¢	150	Mar 5
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealand	SELL	95.0¢	100	Mar 4
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealand	BUY	84.0¢	100	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	SELL	29.7¢	200	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	BUY	35.0¢	100	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	SELL	21.0¢	100	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	BUY	21.0¢	100	Mar 4
T20 World Cup: India vs West Indies	BUY	70.0¢	5	Mar 1
T20 World Cup: India vs West Indies	BUY	70.0¢	5	Mar 1
T20 World Cup: India vs West Indies	BUY	74.0¢	14.78	Mar 1
T20 World Cup: India vs West Indies	BUY	74.0¢	15.22	Mar 1
T20 World Cup: England vs New Zealand	SELL	17.0¢	10	Feb 27
T20 World Cup: England vs New Zealand	BUY	57.0¢	10	Feb 27
T20 World Cup: West Indies vs South Africa	SELL	99.0¢	10	Feb 26
T20 World Cup: West Indies vs South Africa	BUY	84.0¢	1.07	Feb 26
T20 World Cup: West Indies vs South Africa	BUY	84.0¢	8.93	Feb 26
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	SELL	58.0¢	11.45	Feb 26
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	BUY	43.0¢	11.628	Feb 26
Solana Up or Down - February 24, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	BUY	78.0¢	1.282	Feb 24

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing34.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.91

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)31.6%

Win Consistency61.0%

Profit Factor0.90

Drawdown Resilience0.73

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.73

Weekly Sharpe est.0.56

Trading Activity100 trades · 27 active days

P&L Calendar

$1409d profit17d loss