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vayro

0x56390c...747246
Smart Score
48
Win Rate
41.8%
Total P&L
-$270
Trade Count
2,321
Sharpe Ratio
0.62
Sortino Ratio
50.60
Max Drawdown
39.5%
ROI
-1.8%
Profit Factor
0.83
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
048/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY84.2¢7.28Mar 5
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY19.0¢37.35Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY18.0¢39.06Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY38.3¢16.18Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL84.1¢7.8Mar 5
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?SELL18.0¢37.35Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL38.1¢15.99Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL17.0¢39.06Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY84.2¢7.8Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY18.0¢39.06Mar 5
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY19.0¢37.35Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY38.4¢15.99Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL37.4¢31.78Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?SELL43.7¢11.29Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL17.0¢78.12Mar 5
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?SELL18.0¢74.7Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?SELL50.0¢24.48Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY18.0¢39.06Mar 5
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY19.0¢37.35Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?BUY50.1¢12.24Mar 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%10%< 10%7%10–20%6%20–30%24%30–50%42%50–70%5%70–80%5%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing48

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.64
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)43.7%
Win Consistency41.2%
Profit Factor1.25
Drawdown Resilience1.01
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.01
Weekly Sharpe est.0.77
Trading Activity2,321 trades · 9 active days
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