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vinkivol

0x80cf6c...a90ec7
Smart Score
26
Win Rate
53.5%
Total P&L
+$553
Trade Count
3,926
Sharpe Ratio
1.28
Sortino Ratio
9.96
Max Drawdown
839.2%
ROI
8.8%
Profit Factor
1.26
Kelly Fraction
0.111
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
026.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?BUY81.0¢4.815Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $600M one day after launch?BUY25.0¢12.68Mar 5
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?BUY56.0¢1.964Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?BUY99.9¢1.931Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?BUY99.9¢5.995Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?BUY99.9¢1.101Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?SELL52.0¢0.26Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?BUY99.9¢1.101Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?SELL47.0¢0.01Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?SELL48.0¢0.01Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?SELL47.0¢0.5Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?SELL50.0¢0.01Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?SELL40.0¢1.04Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?SELL46.0¢0.05Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY2.8¢25Mar 5
Pacers vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5BUY19.0¢30Mar 5
Pacers vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5BUY19.0¢15Mar 5
Pacers vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5BUY19.0¢30Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $600M one day after launch?BUY26.8¢4.102Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $600M one day after launch?BUY26.0¢4.231Mar 5

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%6%20–30%33%30–50%48%50–70%4%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing26.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.44
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.8%
Win Consistency43.3%
Profit Factor0.68
Drawdown Resilience0.55
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.55
Weekly Sharpe est.0.42
Trading Activity3,926 trades · 9 active days
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