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WAR.MONITOR

WAR.MONITOR

0x735d76...3378cf
Smart Score
40
Win Rate
40.3%
Total P&L
+$10.2K
Trade Count
997
Sharpe Ratio
0.22
Sortino Ratio
37.74
Max Drawdown
22046.6%
ROI
100.9%
Profit Factor
5.47
Kelly Fraction
0.329
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
039.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?SELL87.0¢147.55Mar 3
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?SELL87.0¢4.59Mar 3
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?SELL87.0¢117Mar 3
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?SELL89.0¢30.854Mar 3
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?BUY75.0¢300Mar 3
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.2¢1,000Mar 3
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.9¢200Mar 3
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?SELL66.0¢75.74Mar 3
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?SELL66.0¢2.167Mar 3
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?SELL40.0¢100Mar 3
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?SELL66.0¢225.912Mar 3
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?BUY9.0¢57.88Mar 2
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?BUY21.0¢100Mar 2
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?BUY9.0¢122.12Mar 2
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?BUY9.0¢20Mar 1
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?BUY8.1¢200Mar 1
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?BUY61.0¢200Mar 1
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?BUY64.0¢100Mar 1
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?BUY41.0¢3.84Feb 28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY3.9¢500Feb 28

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%86%< 10%6%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing39.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.19
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)36.3%
Win Consistency27.1%
Profit Factor1.04
Drawdown Resilience0.84
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.84
Weekly Sharpe est.0.64
Trading Activity997 trades · 112 active days
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