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0x5cb0ec...5918ee@MichaelTunilla
Smart Score
15
Win Rate
90.5%
Total P&L
-$4
Trade Count
74
Sharpe Ratio
0.12
Sortino Ratio
0.39
Max Drawdown
439.2%
ROI
-0.2%
Profit Factor
0.65
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
014.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 5?BUY99.9¢95.095Mar 5
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?BUY99.9¢95.095Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on February 15?BUY99.9¢95.095Feb 14
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on February 4?BUY99.9¢95.095Feb 3
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on January 31?BUY99.9¢95.095Jan 31
Will the price of XRP be above $2.40 on January 30?BUY99.9¢95.095Jan 29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 19?BUY99.9¢95.095Jan 17
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 15?BUY99.9¢95.095Jan 15
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?BUY99.9¢95.205Jan 10
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on January 5?BUY99.9¢95.095Jan 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 3?BUY99.9¢94.094Jan 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 3?BUY0.2¢500Jan 2
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?BUY0.1¢1,000Jan 2
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on December 22?BUY99.9¢96.096Dec 22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on December 15?BUY99.9¢96.826Dec 14
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on December 15?BUY0.3¢566.667Dec 14
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on December 8?BUY99.9¢98.428Dec 7
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on December 1?BUY99.9¢98.328Dec 1
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on November 26?BUY99.9¢98.228Nov 26
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,500 and $3,600 on November 18?BUY99.9¢98.128Nov 18
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%7%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%4%50–70%70–80%80–90%88%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing14.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.81
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)13.5%
Win Consistency64.9%
Profit Factor0.38
Drawdown Resilience0.31
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.31
Weekly Sharpe est.0.24
Trading Activity74 trades · 41 active days
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