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YWDw

0x912de5...58d0d9
Smart Score
13
Win Rate
67.6%
Total P&L
-$31
Trade Count
105
Sharpe Ratio
0.12
Sortino Ratio
0.48
Max Drawdown
1047.9%
ROI
-3.5%
Profit Factor
0.81
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
012.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on March 5?BUY1.0¢22.47Mar 5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY28.0¢20Mar 5
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY63.2¢20Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 5?BUY97.4¢10Mar 5
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on March 5?BUY1.0¢72.5Mar 5
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on March 5?BUY1.0¢5.02Mar 5
EU dissolves before 2027?SELL3.8¢30Mar 5
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?SELL1.1¢12Mar 5
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?SELL24.0¢20Mar 5
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?SELL94.0¢10Mar 5
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?SELL98.3¢12Mar 5
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?SELL67.0¢20Mar 5
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?BUY20.0¢20Feb 26
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 27?BUY98.0¢10Feb 26
Will Shake Shack (SHAK) beat quarterly earnings?BUY71.0¢10Feb 26
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?BUY71.0¢20Feb 26
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?BUY95.0¢10Feb 26
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY58.7¢10Feb 26
Will Wells Fargo & Co (WFC) beat quarterly earnings?BUY75.0¢5.27Jan 14
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?BUY95.8¢50Jan 14

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%18%< 10%4%10–20%6%20–30%5%30–50%12%50–70%13%70–80%11%80–90%32%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing12.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.69
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)11.5%
Win Consistency45.3%
Profit Factor0.33
Drawdown Resilience0.26
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.26
Weekly Sharpe est.0.20
Trading Activity103 trades · 21 active days
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