zorra

0x8e4ecc...56022c

Smart Score

Win Rate

35.1%

Total P&L

+$543

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.02

Sortino Ratio

0.20

Max Drawdown

224.2%

ROI

2.7%

Profit Factor

1.11

Kelly Fraction

0.034

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

013.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?	SELL	2.5¢	2,649.97	Nov 14
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?	SELL	5.0¢	2,762.18	Nov 14
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?	BUY	11.0¢	909.097	Nov 14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 14?	BUY	77.6¢	128.921	Nov 14
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?	BUY	34.3¢	291.429	Nov 13
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?	BUY	32.5¢	307.913	Nov 13
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?	BUY	88.4¢	22.624	Nov 7
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?	BUY	45.0¢	111.111	Nov 6
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?	BUY	3.6¢	2,762.188	Nov 6
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?	BUY	1.8¢	1,090.484	Nov 6
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?	BUY	3.8¢	2,649.977	Nov 6
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?	BUY	4.1¢	2,452.814	Nov 6
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?	BUY	55.0¢	181.818	Nov 6
Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic by December 31?	BUY	94.0¢	106.383	Nov 6
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity in 2025?	SELL	8.0¢	44.68	Nov 6
Will Trump visit China by March 31?	BUY	88.0¢	113.636	Nov 6
Will MicroStrategy hold 550k+ BTC before May?	BUY	35.0¢	4,067.567	Apr 28
Will India invade Pakistan before July?	BUY	19.0¢	105.263	Apr 28
Elon out of Trump administration before July?	BUY	38.0¢	78.947	Apr 28
Will Trump increase tariffs on Canada before May?	SELL	1.6¢	1,793.82	Apr 28

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing13.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.72

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)11.9%

Win Consistency29.7%

Profit Factor0.34

Drawdown Resilience0.28

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.28

Weekly Sharpe est.0.21

Trading Activity65 trades · 14 active days