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US strikes Iran by...?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markets (65)
resolved
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
$89.7M vol · $0 liq
resolved
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
$41.8M vol · $0 liq
resolved
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
$25.1M vol · $0 liq
resolved
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
$22.2M vol · $0 liq
resolved
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
$18.8M vol · $0 liq
resolved
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
$17.6M vol · $0 liq
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US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
$16.9M vol · $0 liq
resolved
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
$15.1M vol · $0 liq
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US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
$14.5M vol · $0 liq
resolved
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
$14.0M vol · $0 liq
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US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
$13.6M vol · $0 liq
resolved
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
$12.6M vol · $0 liq
resolved
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
$12.3M vol · $0 liq
resolved
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
$12.3M vol · $0 liq
resolved
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
$10.5M vol · $0 liq
resolved
US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?
$10.5M vol · $0 liq
resolved
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
$9.8M vol · $0 liq
resolved
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
$9.2M vol · $0 liq
resolved
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
$8.8M vol · $0 liq
resolved
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
$8.5M vol · $0 liq
resolved
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
$8.1M vol · $0 liq
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US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
$8.0M vol · $0 liq
resolved
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?
$7.4M vol · $0 liq
resolved
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
$6.9M vol · $0 liq
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US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
$6.6M vol · $0 liq
resolved
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?
$6.6M vol · $0 liq
resolved
US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?
$5.6M vol · $0 liq
resolved
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
$5.5M vol · $0 liq
resolved
US strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?
$4.9M vol · $0 liq
resolved
US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?
$4.5M vol · $0 liq
resolved
US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?
$4.5M vol · $0 liq
resolved
US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?
$4.5M vol · $0 liq
resolved
US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?
$4.2M vol · $0 liq
resolved
US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?
$4.2M vol · $0 liq
resolved
US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?
$4.1M vol · $0 liq
resolved
US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?
$3.8M vol · $0 liq
resolved
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?
$3.8M vol · $0 liq
resolved
US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?
$3.8M vol · $0 liq
resolved
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
$3.8M vol · $0 liq
resolved
US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?
$3.8M vol · $0 liq
resolved
US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?
$3.6M vol · $0 liq
resolved
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?
$3.5M vol · $0 liq
resolved
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
$3.3M vol · $0 liq
resolved
US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?
$3.1M vol · $0 liq
resolved
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
$3.0M vol · $0 liq
resolved
US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?
$2.9M vol · $0 liq
resolved
US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?
$2.7M vol · $0 liq
resolved
US strikes Iran by January 27, 2026?
$2.5M vol · $0 liq
resolved
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
$2.5M vol · $0 liq
resolved
US strikes Iran by January 28, 2026?
$2.0M vol · $0 liq
resolved
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
$1.9M vol · $0 liq
resolved
US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?
$1.7M vol · $0 liq
resolved
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?
$1.7M vol · $0 liq
resolved
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
$1.6M vol · $0 liq
resolved
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?
$1.4M vol · $0 liq
resolved
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?
$1.0M vol · $0 liq
resolved
US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?
$539K vol · $0 liq
resolved
US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?
$380K vol · $0 liq
resolved
US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026?
$358K vol · $0 liq
resolved
US strikes Iran by March 13, 2026?
$283K vol · $0 liq
resolved
US strikes Iran by March 10, 2026?
$270K vol · $0 liq
resolved
US strikes Iran by March 12, 2026?
$198K vol · $0 liq
resolved
US strikes Iran by March 11, 2026?
$190K vol · $0 liq
resolved
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2025?
$19K vol · $0 liq
closed
US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026?
$0 vol · $11K liq
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