uncategorized

US/Israel strikes Iran by...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US or Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US or Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US or Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Markets
29
Total Volume
$19.8M
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
Comments
482

Markets (26)

resolved

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

$6.5M vol · $0 liq
0.0%
-5.5¢
resolved

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

$5.9M vol · $0 liq
100.0%
-2.5¢
resolved

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?

$2.8M vol · $0 liq
0.0%
-0.5¢
resolved

Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?

$1.5M vol · $0 liq
100.0%
-5.0¢
resolved

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?

$837K vol · $0 liq
0.0%
-4.3¢
resolved

Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?

$752K vol · $0 liq
100.0%
-3.0¢
resolved

Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?

$583K vol · $0 liq
100.0%
-2.0¢
resolved

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 11, 2026?

$435K vol · $0 liq
0.0%
-6.4¢
resolved

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 10, 2026?

$344K vol · $0 liq
0.0%
-2.5¢
resolved

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 9, 2026?

$126K vol · $0 liq
0.0%
-2.3¢
resolved

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 8, 2026?

$102K vol · $0 liq
0.0%
January 26resolved

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 26, 2026?

$0 vol · $0 liq
0.0%
+0.0¢
January 28resolved

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 28, 2026?

$0 vol · $0 liq
0.0%
+0.0¢
January 30resolved

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 30, 2026?

$0 vol · $0 liq
0.0%
+0.0¢
January 16resolved

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 16, 2026?

$0 vol · $0 liq
0.0%
+0.0¢
January 19resolved

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 19, 2026?

$0 vol · $0 liq
0.0%
+0.0¢
January 21resolved

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 21, 2026?

$0 vol · $0 liq
0.0%
+0.0¢
January 23resolved

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 23, 2026?

$0 vol · $0 liq
0.0%
+0.0¢
January 25resolved

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 25, 2026?

$0 vol · $0 liq
0.0%
+0.0¢
January 27resolved

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 27, 2026?

$0 vol · $0 liq
0.0%
+0.0¢
January 29resolved

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 29, 2026?

$0 vol · $0 liq
0.0%
+0.0¢
January 17resolved

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 17, 2026?

$0 vol · $0 liq
0.0%
+0.0¢
January 18resolved

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 18, 2026?

$0 vol · $0 liq
0.0%
+0.0¢
January 20resolved

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 20, 2026?

$0 vol · $0 liq
0.0%
+0.0¢
January 22resolved

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 22, 2026?

$0 vol · $0 liq
0.0%
+0.0¢
January 24resolved

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 24, 2026?

$0 vol · $0 liq
0.0%
+0.0¢
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