politics

War Powers resolution passes the Senate?

On March 4, the US Senate is expected to vote on S.J.Res.104 - A joint resolution to direct the removal of United States Armed Forces from hostilities within or against the Islamic Republic of Iran that have not been authorized by Congress. You can read more about that here: https://www.axios.com/2026/03/04/iran-senate-democrats-aumf-vote This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified legislation passes the Senate by March 6, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no vote takes place by March 6, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of the initial roll call vote for the passage of the specified legislation. Any subsequent votes will not be considered. Senators without a formal party affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican Parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party that they caucus with. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government (e.g., https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/senate-joint-resolution/104), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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