economicsfed

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time. The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).

Markets
15
Total Volume
$4.0M
24h Volume
$319K
Liquidity
$233K
Comments
1

Markets (15)

active

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?

$1.1M vol · $17K liq
10.3%
active

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?

$1.0M vol · $16K liq
2.5%
active

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?

$365K vol · $16K liq
2.4%
active

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?

$352K vol · $15K liq
30.9%
+0.1¢
active

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?

$299K vol · $15K liq
3.9%
active

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?

$191K vol · $12K liq
1.4%
+0.6¢
active

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?

$108K vol · $15K liq
0.4%
active

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?

$95K vol · $16K liq
0.9%
-0.1¢
active

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?

$94K vol · $16K liq
0.7%
active

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?

$93K vol · $15K liq
0.4%
active

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?

$81K vol · $16K liq
0.8%
-0.1¢
active

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?

$55K vol · $14K liq
24.0%
active

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?

$53K vol · $14K liq
0.5%
active

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?

$37K vol · $13K liq
18.5%
-0.5¢
active

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?

$23K vol · $28K liq
7.0%
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