uncategorized
Will Israel strike Gaza on...?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Gaza ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Gaza territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Markets (28)
resolved
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?
$765K vol · $0 liq
resolved
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?
$240K vol · $0 liq
resolved
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?
$217K vol · $0 liq
resolved
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 5, 2026?
$215K vol · $0 liq
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Will Israel strike Gaza on February 17, 2026?
$183K vol · $0 liq
resolved
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 13, 2026?
$175K vol · $0 liq
resolved
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 2, 2026?
$173K vol · $0 liq
resolved
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 14, 2026?
$163K vol · $0 liq
resolved
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 11, 2026?
$146K vol · $0 liq
resolved
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 15, 2026?
$132K vol · $0 liq
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Will Israel strike Gaza on February 12, 2026?
$125K vol · $0 liq
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Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?
$114K vol · $0 liq
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Will Israel strike Gaza on February 21, 2026?
$109K vol · $0 liq
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Will Israel strike Gaza on February 4, 2026?
$107K vol · $0 liq
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Will Israel strike Gaza on February 1, 2026?
$104K vol · $0 liq
resolved
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026?
$83K vol · $0 liq
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Will Israel strike Gaza on February 6, 2026?
$80K vol · $0 liq
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Will Israel strike Gaza on February 3, 2026?
$79K vol · $0 liq
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Will Israel strike Gaza on February 25, 2026?
$68K vol · $0 liq
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Will Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?
$63K vol · $0 liq
resolved
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 27, 2026?
$58K vol · $0 liq
resolved
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?
$57K vol · $0 liq
resolved
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 28, 2026?
$53K vol · $0 liq
resolved
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 26, 2026?
$50K vol · $0 liq
resolved
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 23, 2026?
$47K vol · $0 liq
resolved
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 24, 2026?
$44K vol · $0 liq
resolved
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 20, 2026?
$37K vol · $0 liq
resolved
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 8, 2026?
$24K vol · $0 liq
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