uncategorized
Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Lebanese soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Lebanese ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Lebanon counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Lebanese territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Markets (31)
resolved
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 3, 2026?
$236K vol · $0 liq
resolved
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 4, 2026?
$94K vol · $0 liq
resolved
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 2, 2026?
$56K vol · $0 liq
March 14closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 14, 2026?
$0 vol · $0 liq
March 16closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 16, 2026?
$0 vol · $0 liq
March 18closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 18, 2026?
$0 vol · $0 liq
March 20closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 20, 2026?
$0 vol · $0 liq
March 22closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 22, 2026?
$0 vol · $0 liq
March 24closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 24, 2026?
$0 vol · $0 liq
March 26closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 26, 2026?
$0 vol · $0 liq
March 28closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 28, 2026?
$0 vol · $0 liq
March 30closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 30, 2026?
$0 vol · $0 liq
March 31closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 31, 2026?
$0 vol · $0 liq
March 10closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 10, 2026?
$0 vol · $0 liq
March 12closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 12, 2026?
$0 vol · $0 liq
March 19closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 19, 2026?
$0 vol · $0 liq
March 21closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 21, 2026?
$0 vol · $0 liq
March 23closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 23, 2026?
$0 vol · $0 liq
March 25closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 25, 2026?
$0 vol · $0 liq
March 27closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 27, 2026?
$0 vol · $0 liq
March 29closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 29, 2026?
$0 vol · $0 liq
March 11closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 11, 2026?
$0 vol · $0 liq
March 13closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 13, 2026?
$0 vol · $0 liq
March 15closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 15, 2026?
$0 vol · $0 liq
March 17closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 17, 2026?
$0 vol · $0 liq
resolved
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 1, 2026?
$0 vol · $0 liq
resolved
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 8, 2026?
$0 vol · $0 liq
resolved
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 5, 2026?
$0 vol · $0 liq
resolved
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 7, 2026?
$0 vol · $0 liq
resolved
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 9, 2026?
$0 vol · $0 liq
resolved
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 6, 2026?
$0 vol · $0 liq
Open in Terminal →