uncategorized

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Lebanese soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Lebanon ground territory. A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Lebanon counts, including buffer zones. Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Lebanon territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The primary solution resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers. If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.

Markets
31
Total Volume
$6.2M
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0

Markets (31)

resolved

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?

$1.6M vol · $0 liq
0.0%
-1.8¢
resolved

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026?

$354K vol · $0 liq
0.0%
-2.1¢
resolved

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026?

$314K vol · $0 liq
0.0%
-2.4¢
resolved

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 9, 2026?

$299K vol · $0 liq
100.0%
+69.5¢
resolved

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 2, 2026?

$288K vol · $0 liq
100.0%
resolved

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?

$271K vol · $0 liq
100.0%
+25.4¢
resolved

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 21, 2026?

$220K vol · $0 liq
100.0%
+50.0¢
resolved

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 29, 2026?

$216K vol · $0 liq
0.0%
-1.6¢
resolved

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 12, 2026?

$190K vol · $0 liq
0.0%
-0.1¢
resolved

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 27, 2026?

$189K vol · $0 liq
100.0%
+44.0¢
resolved

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 26, 2026?

$170K vol · $0 liq
100.0%
+52.4¢
resolved

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 11, 2026?

$161K vol · $0 liq
100.0%
+44.5¢
resolved

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 23, 2026?

$149K vol · $0 liq
0.0%
-1.8¢
resolved

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 18, 2026?

$144K vol · $0 liq
0.0%
-1.9¢
resolved

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 15, 2026?

$143K vol · $0 liq
100.0%
+52.4¢
resolved

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 31, 2026?

$139K vol · $0 liq
100.0%
+40.9¢
resolved

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 22, 2026?

$137K vol · $0 liq
0.0%
-0.5¢
resolved

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 25, 2026?

$131K vol · $0 liq
100.0%
+52.4¢
resolved

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 17, 2026?

$126K vol · $0 liq
0.0%
-1.3¢
resolved

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 20, 2026?

$106K vol · $0 liq
0.0%
-1.1¢
resolved

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 19, 2026?

$104K vol · $0 liq
100.0%
+65.0¢
resolved

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 3, 2026?

$101K vol · $0 liq
100.0%
+69.0¢
resolved

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 13, 2026?

$94K vol · $0 liq
0.0%
-0.3¢
resolved

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 14, 2026?

$81K vol · $0 liq
0.0%
-0.3¢
resolved

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 6, 2026?

$78K vol · $0 liq
100.0%
+37.5¢
resolved

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 7, 2026?

$74K vol · $0 liq
100.0%
+25.9¢
resolved

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 8, 2026?

$71K vol · $0 liq
100.0%
+23.4¢
resolved

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 24, 2026?

$63K vol · $0 liq
0.0%
-0.8¢
resolved

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 5, 2026?

$61K vol · $0 liq
100.0%
+50.8¢
resolved

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 4, 2026?

$39K vol · $0 liq
100.0%
+60.8¢
resolved

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 1, 2026?

$26K vol · $0 liq
0.0%
-0.1¢
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