0516

0x8616f7...943496

Smart Score

Win Rate

31.2%

Total P&L

-$642

Trade Count

653

Sharpe Ratio

-0.62

Sortino Ratio

-1.59

Max Drawdown

976.8%

ROI

-7.3%

Profit Factor

0.82

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

02.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?	SELL	91.0¢	43.33	Mar 5
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?	SELL	7.4¢	14.78	Feb 19
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?	SELL	7.4¢	113.85	Feb 19
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?	SELL	56.0¢	55.22	Feb 18
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?	SELL	57.3¢	94.42	Feb 16
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?	SELL	16.0¢	5.37	Feb 6
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?	SELL	14.5¢	100	Jan 26
Will Silver (SI) settle over $70 on the final trading day of January 2026?	SELL	5.0¢	50	Jan 18
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?	SELL	40.0¢	20.65	Jan 18
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?	SELL	40.0¢	59.93	Jan 18
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?	SELL	41.0¢	2.37	Jan 18
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?	SELL	41.0¢	56	Jan 18
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?	SELL	43.0¢	92.35	Jan 18
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?	BUY	79.0¢	29.2	Jan 8
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?	BUY	2.6¢	63.37	Jan 8
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?	BUY	79.0¢	80	Jan 8
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?	BUY	79.0¢	40	Jan 8
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?	BUY	78.0¢	98	Jan 8
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?	BUY	78.0¢	2	Jan 8
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?	BUY	79.0¢	42	Jan 8

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing2.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.14

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)2.4%

Win Consistency39.1%

Profit Factor0.07

Drawdown Resilience0.05

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.05

Weekly Sharpe est.0.04

Trading Activity653 trades · 56 active days

P&L Calendar

$5,94411d profit45d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue