09v4p9y2

0x6ef482...176785

Smart Score

Win Rate

83.3%

Total P&L

-$2

Trade Count

348

Sharpe Ratio

-0.44

Sortino Ratio

-0.56

Max Drawdown

3107.0%

ROI

-0.0%

Profit Factor

6.67

Kelly Fraction

0.708

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

028.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	93.3¢	20	Mar 5
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	SELL	96.9¢	38.14	Mar 3
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	97.4¢	38.14	Mar 3
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	96.7¢	42.15	Mar 3
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	96.7¢	42.16	Mar 3
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	SELL	96.1¢	33.49	Mar 1
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	BUY	96.2¢	33.49	Mar 1
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	97.6¢	41.89	Mar 1
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	97.7¢	41.89	Mar 1
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SELL	95.7¢	39.58	Mar 1
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	95.9¢	39.58	Mar 1
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	SELL	95.2¢	38.47	Mar 1
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	95.4¢	6.18	Mar 1
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	95.4¢	32.29	Mar 1
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	SELL	96.0¢	35.04	Mar 1
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	BUY	96.3¢	35.05	Mar 1
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	SELL	97.8¢	32.83	Mar 1
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	BUY	98.0¢	32.83	Mar 1
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	97.7¢	31.74	Mar 1
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	97.9¢	31.74	Mar 1

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing28.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.57

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)26.0%

Win Consistency31.8%

Profit Factor0.74

Drawdown Resilience0.60

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.60

Weekly Sharpe est.0.46

Trading Activity348 trades · 30 active days

P&L Calendar

$287d profit23d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue