0t7gzid0

0x009d8c...20d12e

Smart Score

Win Rate

83.3%

Total P&L

-$8

Trade Count

479

Sharpe Ratio

-0.47

Sortino Ratio

-0.55

Max Drawdown

4000.0%

ROI

-0.0%

Profit Factor

3.74

Kelly Fraction

0.610

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

025/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?	SELL	90.1¢	42.82	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?	BUY	90.6¢	42.82	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	97.9¢	44.29	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	98.0¢	44.29	Mar 4
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SELL	97.9¢	45.75	Mar 4
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	97.9¢	45.75	Mar 4
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	SELL	96.9¢	47.94	Mar 3
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	97.6¢	47.94	Mar 3
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	95.0¢	46.38	Mar 3
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	95.0¢	16.38	Mar 3
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	95.0¢	30	Mar 3
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	SELL	97.1¢	41.86	Mar 3
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	97.2¢	41.86	Mar 2
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	SELL	95.8¢	43.06	Feb 28
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	BUY	96.0¢	43.06	Feb 28
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	SELL	96.5¢	43.99	Feb 28
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	BUY	96.6¢	43.99	Feb 28
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	SELL	96.0¢	41.77	Feb 28
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	BUY	96.3¢	41.76	Feb 28
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	97.8¢	41.13	Feb 28

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing25

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.38

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.8%

Win Consistency34.8%

Profit Factor0.65

Drawdown Resilience0.53

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.53

Weekly Sharpe est.0.40

Trading Activity479 trades · 33 active days

P&L Calendar

$1410d profit23d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue