0x0070f462214195752947593760c6dcF72dA67622-1766387138397

0x0070f4...a67622

Smart Score

Win Rate

29.2%

Total P&L

+$4

Trade Count

216

Sharpe Ratio

3.41

Sortino Ratio

23.95

Max Drawdown

82.9%

ROI

0.8%

Profit Factor

4.00

Kelly Fraction

0.219

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

048/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	63.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	63.1¢	5	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	61.8¢	7.05	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	61.9¢	5	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	61.9¢	2.95	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	62.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	62.5¢	5	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	62.9¢	5	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	60.7¢	5	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	61.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	60.6¢	9.58	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	60.8¢	5	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	60.8¢	0.425	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	60.8¢	5	Mar 4
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	98.4¢	5	Mar 4
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	98.5¢	5	Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	24.3¢	5	Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	24.5¢	5	Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	24.6¢	5	Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	24.9¢	5	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing48

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.64

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)43.7%

Win Consistency46.9%

Profit Factor1.25

Drawdown Resilience1.01

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.01

Weekly Sharpe est.0.77

Trading Activity216 trades · 12 active days

P&L Calendar

$64d profit8d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue