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0x017D93A5D6d1ea00d9Eb21716Aa856F9b6b38BAd-1768484391139

0x017d93...b38bad
Smart Score
28
Win Rate
65.7%
Total P&L
+$6
Trade Count
36
Sharpe Ratio
-0.66
Sortino Ratio
-0.47
Max Drawdown
616.3%
ROI
3.9%
Profit Factor
5.17
Kelly Fraction
0.530
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
027.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $315 on March 5?BUY98.8¢1.012Mar 4
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on March 5?BUY98.9¢1.011Mar 4
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 on March 5?BUY96.0¢1.042Mar 4
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 2 above $160?BUY99.4¢1.006Mar 4
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $265 on February 27?BUY98.1¢1.019Feb 27
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $380 on February 27?BUY99.0¢1.01Feb 27
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?BUY87.0¢1.149Feb 27
US evacuates Guadalajara consulate by Feb 28?SELL7.0¢200Feb 22
US evacuates Guadalajara consulate by Feb 28?BUY7.0¢200Feb 22
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (HIGH) in February 2026?BUY93.0¢1.075Feb 19
Huddle FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY96.9¢1.032Feb 19
Relay FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY96.0¢1.042Feb 19
Reya FDV above $400M one day after launch?BUY97.7¢1.024Feb 19
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?BUY75.0¢1.333Feb 19
Space FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY97.3¢1.028Feb 19
Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?BUY99.3¢1.007Feb 19
Will Hyperliquid reach $44 in February?BUY95.0¢1.053Feb 13
Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in February?BUY99.5¢1.005Feb 13
Will Solana reach $120 in February?BUY94.4¢1.059Feb 13
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY99.0¢1.01Feb 13

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%9%70–80%9%80–90%77%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing27.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.52
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.2%
Win Consistency54.3%
Profit Factor0.72
Drawdown Resilience0.58
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.58
Weekly Sharpe est.0.44
Trading Activity36 trades · 10 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1330d profit9d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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