0x02a4e0...ef66d9

Smart Score

Win Rate

75.0%

Total P&L

+$8

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.79

Sortino Ratio

-0.62

Max Drawdown

2882.6%

ROI

1.3%

Profit Factor

2.16

Kelly Fraction

0.403

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

09.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?	BUY	89.0¢	65.697	Mar 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	98.7¢	59.24	Mar 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	93.0¢	59.247	Feb 16
Will Christian Menefee win the Texas House special election runoff by 15% or more?	BUY	98.7¢	55.101	Feb 3
Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?	SELL	98.9¢	55.02	Jan 30
Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?	BUY	91.5¢	55.028	Jan 21
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?	SELL	79.0¢	63.73	Jan 20
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?	BUY	89.6¢	63.734	Jan 14
Will a White Spoon win season 2 of Culinary Class Wars?	BUY	91.0¢	57.088	Jan 7
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)	BUY	97.8¢	51.953	Jan 6
Will Elon and DOGE cut more than 200k employees in 2025?	SELL	99.2¢	51.22	Jan 6
Will Elon and DOGE cut more than 200k employees in 2025?	BUY	97.5¢	51.228	Jan 2

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing9.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.52

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)8.6%

Win Consistency50.0%

Profit Factor0.25

Drawdown Resilience0.20

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.20

Weekly Sharpe est.0.15

Trading Activity12 trades · 9 active days

P&L Calendar

$2142d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue