0x0357a00645ebf230990066ab6b6c5b80B37b2f89-1765831165960

0x0357a0...7b2f89

Smart Score

Win Rate

55.6%

Total P&L

+$2

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

1.28

Sortino Ratio

2.68

Max Drawdown

21.2%

ROI

3.2%

Profit Factor

2.15

Kelly Fraction

0.297

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

055.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	SELL	25.0¢	10	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	38.0¢	10	Mar 3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	99.9¢	5.85	Mar 3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	97.4¢	5.852	Feb 28
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	SELL	0.9¢	7.16	Feb 28
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	BUY	9.1¢	5	Feb 23
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	92.4¢	5	Feb 19
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	BUY	0.8¢	1.16	Feb 11
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	BUY	0.8¢	6.008	Feb 6
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	80.0¢	5	Jan 23
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	15.0¢	10	Jan 17
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	SELL	62.0¢	1.53	Jan 17
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	SELL	12.5¢	18	Jan 15
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	25.0¢	10	Jan 15
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	BUY	7.8¢	6.35	Jan 12
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	BUY	7.8¢	6.65	Jan 12
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	BUY	11.7¢	5	Jan 11
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	SELL	97.0¢	5	Jan 9
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	BUY	65.0¢	1.538	Jan 8
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	89.0¢	5	Jan 6

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active55.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.07

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)50.8%

Win Consistency60.0%

Profit Factor1.45

Drawdown Resilience1.17

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.17

Weekly Sharpe est.0.89

Trading Activity23 trades · 21 active days

P&L Calendar

$48d profit13d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue