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0x03D7207105022B35Ae784A1354fFcbfaDe669C81-1721755749531

0x03d720...669c81
Smart Score
25
Win Rate
33.3%
Total P&L
+$2
Trade Count
38
Sharpe Ratio
0.30
Sortino Ratio
12.42
Max Drawdown
83.8%
ROI
1.8%
Profit Factor
1.12
Kelly Fraction
0.035
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
025.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY25.0¢8.32Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY64.3¢1.555Mar 5
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain?BUY14.0¢7.143Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?SELL99.2¢3.44Mar 5
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?BUY50.0¢2Mar 3
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?BUY13.0¢7.692Mar 3
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?BUY77.0¢2.597Mar 3
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?BUY0.4¢250Mar 3
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?BUY0.6¢166.667Mar 3
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?BUY0.8¢125Mar 3
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?BUY12.0¢8.333Mar 3
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?BUY12.0¢8.333Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?BUY43.0¢2.326Mar 3
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?SELL52.0¢20.4Mar 3
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY17.0¢23.529Mar 1
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?BUY49.0¢20.408Mar 1
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY17.0¢58.824Mar 1
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY17.0¢11.765Mar 1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?BUY87.0¢3.448Mar 1
Will Ukraine re-enter Novomykolaivka by March 31?SELL76.0¢6.49Mar 1

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%19%< 10%42%10–20%6%20–30%6%30–50%10%50–70%6%70–80%6%80–90%3%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing25.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.38
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.8%
Win Consistency37.0%
Profit Factor0.65
Drawdown Resilience0.53
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.53
Weekly Sharpe est.0.40

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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