0x0442DFb11fba512b48df3DdA1725F23055844d21-1771622714363

0x0442df...844d21

Smart Score

Win Rate

25.0%

Total P&L

+$142

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-2.91

Sortino Ratio

-5.92

Max Drawdown

226.4%

ROI

13.1%

Profit Factor

1.71

Kelly Fraction

0.103

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	SELL	13.5¢	231.09	Mar 5
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?	SELL	58.0¢	16.95	Mar 5
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?	BUY	59.0¢	16.949	Mar 5
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?	SELL	58.0¢	16.94	Mar 5
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?	BUY	59.0¢	16.949	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	BUY	34.0¢	88.235	Mar 3
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?	BUY	24.0¢	208.333	Mar 3
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	64.0¢	93.75	Mar 3
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	BUY	42.0¢	142.857	Mar 3
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	50.0¢	160	Mar 3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	SELL	99.8¢	111.11	Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	BUY	45.0¢	111.111	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	SELL	99.9¢	397.56	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	BUY	21.0¢	200	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	BUY	36.9¢	197.568	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?	BUY	13.0¢	461.538	Feb 20

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency12.5%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity16 trades · 6 active days

P&L Calendar

+$343d profit3d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue