0x046e69...c24b45

0x046e69...c24b45
Smart Score
44
Win Rate
83.3%
Total P&L
+$2.8K
Trade Count
1,000
Sharpe Ratio
0.50
Sortino Ratio
2.50
Max Drawdown
476.0%
ROI
65.1%
Profit Factor
8.54
Kelly Fraction
0.736
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
043.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?BUY55.5¢747.64Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on March 5?BUY95.9¢95.45Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on March 5?BUY97.0¢105.948Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 4?BUY10.6¢10.377Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on March 5?BUY95.1¢5.489Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 5?BUY95.0¢1.137Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on March 5?BUY2.5¢44Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on March 5?BUY2.5¢43.556Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 33°C or below on March 4?BUY67.0¢1.642Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 4?BUY6.0¢24.667Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 4?BUY94.0¢1.234Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 50°F or higher on March 4?BUY78.0¢1.41Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on March 4?BUY97.0¢52Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C on March 3?BUY78.0¢7.59Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C on March 3?BUY83.3¢4.406Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C on March 3?BUY83.3¢2.497Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C on March 3?BUY83.3¢1.489Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C on March 3?BUY11.8¢6Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 3?BUY96.4¢1.141Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 3?BUY92.0¢1.489Mar 3
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%4%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%9%80–90%82%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing43.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.41
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)39.9%
Win Consistency64.0%
Profit Factor1.14
Drawdown Resilience0.92
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.92
Weekly Sharpe est.0.70
Trading Activity1,000 trades · 8 active days
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P&L Calendar
$4,0560d profit8d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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