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0x04955CFa218Cc5c34CCA052486c975f1fbfF8DB9-1767903601349

0x04955c...ff8db9
Smart Score
11
Win Rate
13.6%
Total P&L
-$179
Trade Count
40
Sharpe Ratio
0.24
Sortino Ratio
2.39
Max Drawdown
673.1%
ROI
-13.3%
Profit Factor
0.55
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
011.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on February 6?BUY0.1¢10,790Feb 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $74,000 on February 6?BUY3.1¢324.345Feb 5
Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during NewsNation interview?BUY0.7¢346.447Jan 23
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during CNBC interview?BUY0.1¢1,000Jan 23
Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in January 2026?SELL4.0¢85.15Jan 23
Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in January 2026?BUY19.0¢85.155Jan 22
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in January 2026?SELL0.8¢1,969.08Jan 22
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in January 2026?BUY9.7¢1,969.081Jan 21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 21?BUY0.2¢10,488.08Jan 20
Will Trump say "Unbelievable" or "Fantastic" or "Incredible" 10+ times during Panthers visit?BUY0.1¢11,180Jan 18
Will Trump say "Unbelievable" or "Fantastic" or "Incredible" 10+ times during Panthers visit?BUY0.1¢100,000Jan 18
Will Trump say "Unbelievable" or "Fantastic" or "Incredible" 10+ times during Panthers visit?BUY0.1¢20,000Jan 18
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?BUY1.1¢1,042.085Jan 18
Will Trump say "Unbelievable" or "Fantastic" or "Incredible" 10+ times during Panthers visit?BUY0.1¢10,000Jan 18
Will Trump and Machado only be photographed together, without a clear handshake?BUY12.1¢24.08Jan 16
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?BUY96.3¢95.088Jan 15
Will Trump and Machado not shake hands?SELL31.4¢166.66Jan 15
Will Trump and Machado only be photographed together, without a clear handshake?SELL18.3¢215.23Jan 15
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?BUY50.0¢262Jan 14
Will Trump and Machado handshake last less than 2 seconds?SELL5.0¢133.43Jan 14

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%57%< 10%18%10–20%7%20–30%4%30–50%7%50–70%70–80%4%80–90%4%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing11.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.62
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)10.2%
Win Consistency21.7%
Profit Factor0.29
Drawdown Resilience0.24
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.24
Weekly Sharpe est.0.18
Trading Activity40 trades · 11 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$5361d profit7d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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