0x04DF537FA9Dd127C38B44Ed8B22194cdB54c5401-1721591740791

0x04df53...4c5401

Smart Score

Win Rate

38.9%

Total P&L

-$10

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.68

Sortino Ratio

-0.93

Max Drawdown

432.0%

ROI

-10.0%

Profit Factor

0.52

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	84.5¢	5.657	Mar 5
Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	BUY	67.0¢	2.985	Mar 5
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?	BUY	80.0¢	2.5	Mar 5
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	72.0¢	2.778	Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	BUY	27.0¢	3.704	Mar 2
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?	BUY	42.0¢	2.381	Mar 2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	SELL	99.8¢	8.73	Mar 2
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 1?	BUY	80.0¢	3.5	Feb 28
Khamenei seen in public by March 2?	BUY	75.0¢	4	Feb 28
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?	SELL	99.1¢	1.4	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	BUY	68.7¢	8.738	Feb 28
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 25?	BUY	84.0¢	1.19	Feb 25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	BUY	84.0¢	1.19	Feb 25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 26?	BUY	37.0¢	2.703	Feb 25
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?	BUY	28.0¢	8.929	Feb 24
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?	BUY	71.0¢	1.408	Feb 24
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?	BUY	27.0¢	3.704	Feb 24
Will Trump say "Biden" 10+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?	BUY	62.0¢	1.613	Feb 24
Will "Hamnet" win Outstanding British Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?	BUY	82.0¢	4.634	Feb 10
Will "Hamnet" win Best Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?	BUY	31.0¢	3.226	Feb 10

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency41.7%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity46 trades · 8 active days

P&L Calendar

$541d profit6d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue