0x05aa89...c9e3c3

Smart Score

Win Rate

59.6%

Total P&L

+$667

Trade Count

640

Sharpe Ratio

0.67

Sortino Ratio

16.19

Max Drawdown

75.0%

ROI

26.7%

Profit Factor

3.59

Kelly Fraction

0.430

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

063.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
GPT-5.4 released by March 16?	BUY	5.0¢	21	Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 16?	BUY	93.0¢	3	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	BUY	87.0¢	6	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	BUY	85.9¢	3.504	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	BUY	85.8¢	2.005	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	SELL	83.3¢	6.57	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	56.0¢	3.054	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	56.0¢	0.3	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	57.0¢	4	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	28.8¢	12	Mar 5
Internet Access restored in Iran by March 7, 2026?	BUY	99.2¢	30.071	Mar 5
Internet Access restored in Iran by March 7, 2026?	BUY	98.7¢	10.038	Mar 5
Internet Access restored in Iran by March 7, 2026?	BUY	98.5¢	2.508	Mar 5
Internet Access restored in Iran by March 7, 2026?	BUY	98.3¢	2.513	Mar 5
Internet Access restored in Iran by March 7, 2026?	BUY	98.2¢	10.051	Mar 5
Nothing Ever Happens: Ilhan Omar	BUY	93.8¢	1.503	Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 9?	BUY	20.0¢	5	Mar 4
GPT-5.4 released by March 9?	BUY	21.0¢	5	Mar 4
GPT-5.4 released by March 9?	BUY	21.0¢	5	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	9.0¢	12	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active63.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.51

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)58.1%

Win Consistency54.2%

Profit Factor1.66

Drawdown Resilience1.34

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.34

Weekly Sharpe est.1.02

Trading Activity640 trades · 25 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,0363d profit22d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue