0x05F0E4b1Fcda2A88F36d3b46C175b1187dbFe266-1767627980940

0x05f0e4...bfe266

Smart Score

Win Rate

42.9%

Total P&L

-$133

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.35

Sortino Ratio

0.52

Max Drawdown

78.6%

ROI

-16.8%

Profit Factor

0.27

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

017.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will February 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?	SELL	0.4¢	250	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	55.7¢	1.795	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	40.0¢	12.5	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	71.0¢	8.07	Mar 4
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?	BUY	36.0¢	5.556	Mar 2
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	67.0¢	4.478	Mar 1
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	SELL	58.0¢	9.09	Mar 1
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffs	BUY	68.0¢	2.779	Mar 1
US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7?	BUY	31.0¢	16.129	Mar 1
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	37.0¢	10.811	Mar 1
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	19.7¢	152.466	Mar 1
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	18.9¢	52.822	Mar 1
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	19.9¢	5.025	Mar 1
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?	BUY	47.4¢	10.542	Mar 1
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1	BUY	60.0¢	3.333	Mar 1
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?	SELL	71.0¢	19.23	Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	99.8¢	3.2	Mar 1
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NRG (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1	BUY	81.0¢	6.173	Mar 1
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	BUY	54.0¢	9.259	Mar 1
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	62.0¢	8.065	Feb 28

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing17.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.95

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)15.7%

Win Consistency44.4%

Profit Factor0.45

Drawdown Resilience0.36

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.36

Weekly Sharpe est.0.28

Trading Activity96 trades · 11 active days

P&L Calendar

$2295d profit6d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue