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0x076d03...ae2759

0x076d03...ae2759
Smart Score
43
Win Rate
20.6%
Total P&L
+$59
Trade Count
220
Sharpe Ratio
1.96
Sortino Ratio
30.98
Max Drawdown
382.6%
ROI
32.2%
Profit Factor
22.16
Kelly Fraction
0.197
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
042.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on March 5?SELL2.5¢300Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on March 5?BUY10.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on March 5?BUY10.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on March 5?BUY2.9¢34.48Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on March 5?BUY2.9¢34.48Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on March 5?BUY0.3¢48.31Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on March 5?BUY10.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on March 5?BUY10.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on March 5?BUY0.3¢1.153Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on March 5?BUY0.3¢85.52Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on March 5?BUY0.9¢111.11Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on March 5?BUY0.9¢111.11Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on March 5?BUY0.9¢111.11Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on March 5?BUY0.3¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on March 5?BUY0.3¢50Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on March 5?BUY0.3¢50Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on March 5?BUY0.3¢6Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on March 5?BUY0.3¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on March 5?BUY0.3¢30Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on March 5?BUY0.3¢9Mar 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%81%< 10%16%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing42.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.35
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)38.9%
Win Consistency45.7%
Profit Factor1.11
Drawdown Resilience0.90
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.90
Weekly Sharpe est.0.68
Trading Activity220 trades · 9 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
+$235d profit4d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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