0x07B15D7f6D3Bf41e9443cE33eb99B4a305227d3D-1761252265509

0x07b15d...227d3d

Smart Score

Win Rate

21.3%

Total P&L

+$121

Trade Count

310

Sharpe Ratio

0.81

Sortino Ratio

7.36

Max Drawdown

322.7%

ROI

11.2%

Profit Factor

1.86

Kelly Fraction

0.099

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

028.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 5?	BUY	15.7¢	19.108	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 5?	BUY	6.0¢	33.333	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 6?	SELL	33.6¢	46.51	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 4?	SELL	69.0¢	18.18	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 3?	BUY	5.5¢	18.182	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 3?	SELL	2.0¢	51.28	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 4?	BUY	11.0¢	18.182	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 4?	BUY	4.4¢	45.455	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 6?	BUY	4.3¢	46.512	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 6?	BUY	5.9¢	33.898	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 3?	BUY	3.9¢	51.282	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 3?	BUY	4.0¢	49.571	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 26?	BUY	7.3¢	68.493	Feb 26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 9?	SELL	46.4¢	52.94	Feb 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 7?	SELL	63.3¢	15.28	Feb 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 7?	SELL	78.0¢	14.28	Feb 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 7?	BUY	6.5¢	15.287	Feb 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 7?	BUY	14.0¢	14.286	Feb 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 9?	BUY	5.1¢	19.608	Feb 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 4?	BUY	2.5¢	40	Feb 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing28.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.55

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.6%

Win Consistency55.7%

Profit Factor0.73

Drawdown Resilience0.59

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.59

Weekly Sharpe est.0.45

Trading Activity310 trades · 50 active days

P&L Calendar

+$7214d profit35d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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