0x08bF4E4E227518881f25d23c68DE832Cc04c3793-1771092375312

0x08bf4e...4c3793

Smart Score

Win Rate

61.3%

Total P&L

-$7

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-1.95

Sortino Ratio

-2.55

Max Drawdown

544.5%

ROI

-10.6%

Profit Factor

0.59

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

04.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	75.0¢	1.333	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	62.0¢	1.613	Mar 4
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 4, 2026?	BUY	99.0¢	1.01	Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	50.0¢	4	Mar 2
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?	BUY	83.6¢	2.392	Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	78.0¢	1.282	Mar 2
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?	BUY	76.0¢	1.316	Mar 1
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?	BUY	76.0¢	6.579	Feb 26
Will María Corina Machado attend the 2026 State of the Union address?	BUY	75.0¢	1.333	Feb 24
Will the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minutes or longer?	BUY	48.0¢	4.167	Feb 24
Will the 2026 State of the Union address be between 80 and 90 minutes long?	BUY	21.0¢	14.286	Feb 24
Will the 2026 State of the Union address be between 90 and 100 minutes long?	BUY	25.0¢	12	Feb 24
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 19?	BUY	98.5¢	2.03	Feb 19
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?	BUY	88.0¢	5.682	Feb 19
Will the United States win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	BUY	5.0¢	20	Feb 19
Will Italy win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	BUY	3.3¢	30.294	Feb 19
Will Germany win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	BUY	0.9¢	111.111	Feb 18
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 18?	BUY	87.6¢	5.708	Feb 18
Will the US strike Iran next?	SELL	5.6¢	47.07	Feb 18
Will the US strike Iran next?	BUY	4.2¢	47.078	Feb 17

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing4.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.24

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)4.0%

Win Consistency45.2%

Profit Factor0.11

Drawdown Resilience0.09

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.09

Weekly Sharpe est.0.07

Trading Activity40 trades · 13 active days

P&L Calendar

$570d profit13d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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