0x08eeb4826B817459BDd12AE425619f1C4f07d5BA-1770105317464

0x08eeb4...07d5ba

Smart Score

Win Rate

95.2%

Total P&L

+$4.0K

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.26

Sortino Ratio

-0.36

Max Drawdown

19460.5%

ROI

4.9%

Profit Factor

20.23

Kelly Fraction

0.905

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

033.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	93.0¢	116.81	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	93.0¢	18.98	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	92.1¢	6,993.56	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	93.0¢	20	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	86.1¢	1,939.21	Mar 5
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 5, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	2.693	Mar 5
Will Trump say "Auto" or "Automobile" during tech signing event on Wednesday?	BUY	97.8¢	224.7	Mar 4
Will Trump say "Manhattan" during tech signing event on Wednesday?	BUY	99.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Trump say "Manhattan" during tech signing event on Wednesday?	BUY	99.8¢	50	Mar 4
Will Trump say "Manhattan" during tech signing event on Wednesday?	BUY	99.8¢	105	Mar 4
Will Trump say "Cook" or "Jensen" during tech signing event on Wednesday?	BUY	99.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Trump say "Good Friend of Mine" or "Friend of Mine" during tech signing event on Wednesday?	BUY	99.5¢	337.79	Mar 4
Will Trump say "Boom" or "Booming" during tech signing event on Wednesday?	BUY	99.0¢	27.05	Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	23.0¢	9.435	Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	25.0¢	108.52	Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	25.0¢	459.57	Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	24.9¢	596	Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	14.0¢	387.14	Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	SELL	19.3¢	1,652.75	Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	31.8¢	1,652.75	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing33.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.82

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)30.1%

Win Consistency42.9%

Profit Factor0.86

Drawdown Resilience0.70

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.70

Weekly Sharpe est.0.53

Trading Activity64 trades · 9 active days

P&L Calendar

$78,7561d profit8d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue