0x09c593B5f1267C9dF358bF4fBb24123EC7679E8a-1761248480708

0x09c593...679e8a
Smart Score
2
Win Rate
18.4%
Total P&L
-$1.2K
Trade Count
1,155
Sharpe Ratio
0.51
Sortino Ratio
40.26
Max Drawdown
41632.6%
ROI
-25.9%
Profit Factor
0.37
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
02.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 6?BUY22.3¢22.413Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 6?BUY37.0¢2.703Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 6?BUY22.0¢9.091Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 6?BUY20.9¢23.954Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 6?BUY34.0¢14.706Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 6?BUY31.5¢31.775Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 6?BUY11.2¢26.828Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 6?BUY25.0¢4Mar 5
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?BUY41.0¢4.878Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 5?BUY38.2¢10.462Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on March 5?BUY39.0¢5.128Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on March 5?BUY21.0¢14.286Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on March 5?BUY21.0¢4.762Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 5?BUY38.0¢2.632Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 5?BUY10.0¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 5?BUY3.9¢25.641Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 5?BUY6.1¢16.363Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 5?BUY41.0¢2.439Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 5?BUY7.3¢68.674Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C on March 5?BUY33.0¢15.152Mar 4
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%21%< 10%14%10–20%24%20–30%31%30–50%7%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing2.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.13
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)2.2%
Win Consistency28.3%
Profit Factor0.06
Drawdown Resilience0.05
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.05
Weekly Sharpe est.0.04
Trading Activity1,155 trades · 12 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$2,2271d profit11d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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