0x0a8eee...8c05a4

Smart Score

Win Rate

69.4%

Total P&L

+$215

Trade Count

4,000

Sharpe Ratio

0.84

Sortino Ratio

19.56

Max Drawdown

51495.6%

ROI

1.3%

Profit Factor

1.04

Kelly Fraction

0.029

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

029/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 3°C on March 6?	BUY	92.8¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 5?	BUY	96.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on March 6?	BUY	87.0¢	9.66	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 5?	BUY	94.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on March 6?	BUY	85.0¢	5.01	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 6?	BUY	84.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 5?	BUY	94.0¢	8.13	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 5?	SELL	99.0¢	13.73	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 5?	BUY	78.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 4?	SELL	99.9¢	2.82	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on March 5?	BUY	96.0¢	9.69	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 5?	BUY	96.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 50°F or higher on March 4?	SELL	99.0¢	13.97	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 5?	BUY	81.3¢	5	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 5?	BUY	97.9¢	7.84	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on March 4?	SELL	99.9¢	12.77	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 4?	BUY	92.0¢	2.826	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 4?	BUY	85.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 5?	BUY	54.0¢	5.49	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 5?	BUY	86.0¢	5	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing29

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.59

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)26.4%

Win Consistency29.9%

Profit Factor0.75

Drawdown Resilience0.61

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.61

Weekly Sharpe est.0.46

Trading Activity4,000 trades · 15 active days

P&L Calendar

$11,5150d profit15d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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