Accrue
Log inGet Access

0x0bcfc4cbaa16b5CFa7a0E239809752bf9AB12f2f-1771800148550

0x0bcfc4...b12f2f
Smart Score
41
Win Rate
33.3%
Total P&L
+$26
Trade Count
25
Sharpe Ratio
1.03
Sortino Ratio
6.33
Max Drawdown
573.7%
ROI
23.7%
Profit Factor
5.53
Kelly Fraction
0.273
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
040.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Trump say "Jesus" this week? (March 8)BUY20.0¢25Mar 5
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 8)BUY64.0¢1.563Mar 5
Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" this week? (March 8)BUY33.0¢3.03Mar 5
Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)BUY0.1¢1,000Mar 5
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?BUY78.0¢1.282Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETBUY93.0¢1.075Feb 27
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETBUY76.0¢7.895Feb 27
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETBUY64.0¢1.563Feb 27
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETBUY88.0¢1.136Feb 25
Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?SELL90.0¢5Feb 24
Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?SELL90.0¢32Feb 24
Will Trump say "Gold Card" or "Trump card" during the 2026 State of the Union address?SELL80.0¢7.31Feb 24
Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?BUY39.0¢32.359Feb 23
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?SELL13.0¢97.05Feb 23
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?BUY13.0¢30.385Feb 23
Will Trump say "Too Late" during the 2026 State of the Union address?BUY47.0¢2.128Feb 22
Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?BUY35.0¢17.143Feb 22
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?BUY9.0¢11.111Feb 22
Will Trump say "Gold Card" or "Trump card" during the 2026 State of the Union address?BUY41.0¢7.317Feb 22
Will Trump say "Democracy" this week? (February 22)BUY5.0¢20.151Feb 22

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%33%< 10%10%10–20%5%20–30%24%30–50%10%50–70%10%70–80%5%80–90%5%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing40.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.25
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)37.2%
Win Consistency27.8%
Profit Factor1.06
Drawdown Resilience0.86
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.86
Weekly Sharpe est.0.65
Trading Activity25 trades · 5 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$71d profit3d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

Unlock Full Analytics