0x0C35473ab2228Ca075dAcb6407fa824D42fC0476-1768350512853

0x0c3547...fc0476
Smart Score
2
Win Rate
11.4%
Total P&L
-$646
Trade Count
59
Sharpe Ratio
0.63
Sortino Ratio
24.65
Max Drawdown
1997.8%
ROI
-53.8%
Profit Factor
0.15
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
01.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY5.2¢67.308Mar 5
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?SELL5.8¢19.8Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?SELL1.4¢166.66Feb 7
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?BUY40.0¢268.032Feb 7
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?SELL99.9¢107.45Feb 7
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETBUY4.0¢25Feb 6
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETBUY14.0¢107.143Feb 6
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?BUY16.0¢62.353Feb 6
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?BUY37.4¢107.46Feb 6
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?SELL99.9¢63.25Feb 6
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETBUY1.0¢100Feb 6
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?BUY39.9¢150.325Feb 5
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?BUY16.3¢63.252Feb 5
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?BUY3.5¢142.857Feb 5
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?BUY6.0¢166.667Feb 5
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?BUY18.0¢166.667Feb 5
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?BUY5.0¢19.807Feb 5
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4?BUY14.1¢17.733Feb 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 8AM ETBUY0.7¢137.222Feb 4
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?BUY1.8¢1,089.194Feb 3
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%60%< 10%21%10–20%13%20–30%6%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing1.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.10
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)1.7%
Win Consistency36.4%
Profit Factor0.05
Drawdown Resilience0.04
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.04
Weekly Sharpe est.0.03
Trading Activity59 trades · 12 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$6494d profit8d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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