0x0df392...9d5346

Smart Score

Win Rate

77.8%

Total P&L

+$3

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.23

Sortino Ratio

-0.10

Max Drawdown

0.5%

ROI

0.8%

Profit Factor

6.77

Kelly Fraction

0.663

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

064.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	BUY	99.8¢	21.6	Mar 5
Will Meituan have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?	BUY	99.7¢	18.6	Mar 5
Will the US next strike Iran on February 25, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	99.9¢	11	Feb 25
Trump out as President by March 31?	BUY	98.2¢	25	Feb 25
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?	SELL	97.7¢	22	Feb 12
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	SELL	0.1¢	541	Feb 10
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	0.2¢	541	Feb 10
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	BUY	99.0¢	17	Feb 5
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	30	Feb 5
Zhang Youxia seen in public by February 28?	BUY	99.0¢	20	Feb 5
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 6?	BUY	96.6¢	15	Feb 5
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?	BUY	96.5¢	22	Feb 5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?	BUY	97.0¢	22	Feb 5
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?	SELL	97.3¢	18.78	Jan 29
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	SELL	97.0¢	15	Jan 29
U.S. strike on Nigeria by January 31, 2026?	BUY	97.3¢	27	Jan 29
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	BUY	95.0¢	15	Jan 21
US strike on Mexico by January 31?	BUY	97.7¢	28	Jan 21
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?	BUY	99.3¢	10.76	Jan 21
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?	BUY	96.7¢	18.78	Jan 21

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active64.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.54

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)58.6%

Win Consistency83.3%

Profit Factor1.67

Drawdown Resilience1.35

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.35

Weekly Sharpe est.1.03

Trading Activity22 trades · 7 active days

P&L Calendar

$2922d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue