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0x0e0d619D8aBbF2Ff5F7cfCBB52e15a71a2aBdE7D-1770957651962

0x0e0d61...abde7d
Smart Score
6
Win Rate
74.0%
Total P&L
-$4
Trade Count
181
Sharpe Ratio
-0.50
Sortino Ratio
-0.54
Max Drawdown
9861.5%
ROI
-0.3%
Profit Factor
0.73
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
05.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL96.0¢10.4Mar 5
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY92.7¢5.394Mar 5
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY96.1¢10.406Mar 5
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?SELL97.1¢6.18Mar 5
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL98.0¢7.17Mar 5
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.8¢10.21Mar 5
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?BUY97.0¢6.186Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL84.0¢9.63Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.9¢10.214Mar 4
Spread: CA Lanús (-2.5)BUY96.6¢8.282Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL77.0¢6.57Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY76.0¢6.579Mar 4
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)BUY97.0¢10.309Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL62.0¢8.06Mar 4
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)BUY95.0¢7.368Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY62.0¢8.065Mar 4
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.6¢9.2Mar 4
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.8¢9.202Mar 3
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL58.3¢17.09Mar 3
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY58.5¢17.094Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%15%50–70%8%70–80%11%80–90%66%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing5.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.30
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)5.0%
Win Consistency44.2%
Profit Factor0.14
Drawdown Resilience0.12
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.12
Weekly Sharpe est.0.09
Trading Activity181 trades · 21 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$2932d profit19d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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