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0x0e62cBec0f6bb938a88Cc5BfcDce0C70ce030767-1761397347285

0x0e62cb...030767
Smart Score
22
Win Rate
20.3%
Total P&L
+$0
Trade Count
157
Sharpe Ratio
0.60
Sortino Ratio
164.05
Max Drawdown
15535.6%
ROI
0.1%
Profit Factor
0.90
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
021.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?SELL28.0¢4.98Mar 5
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?BUY26.0¢2.28Mar 5
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?BUY26.0¢1.351Mar 5
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?BUY26.0¢1.351Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?SELL16.2¢5Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?BUY16.0¢5Mar 5
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL3.7¢26.31Mar 5
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY3.8¢26.316Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY16.4¢6.098Mar 4
Hawks vs. BucksBUY17.0¢5.882Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?BUY13.0¢7.692Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL18.0¢10Mar 4
Hurricanes vs. CanucksSELL41.0¢3.7Mar 4
Hurricanes vs. CanucksBUY27.0¢3.704Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY13.0¢10Mar 4
Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?BUY2.0¢5Feb 11
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETBUY1.0¢5Feb 10
Will Li Guyi perform at the Spring Festival Gala?BUY1.0¢5Feb 9
Big Game: 'Deja Vu' ParlayBUY0.2¢5Feb 8
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETBUY1.0¢10Feb 1

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%62%< 10%12%10–20%6%20–30%4%30–50%4%50–70%70–80%80–90%8%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing21.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.19
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)19.8%
Win Consistency50.0%
Profit Factor0.56
Drawdown Resilience0.46
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.46
Weekly Sharpe est.0.35
Trading Activity157 trades · 54 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$620d profit32d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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