0x1036b4...e0f620

Smart Score

Win Rate

96.2%

Total P&L

+$1

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.24

Sortino Ratio

-0.16

Max Drawdown

158.7%

ROI

1.8%

Profit Factor

20.64

Kelly Fraction

0.915

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

035.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on March 5?	BUY	99.4¢	1.348	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 6?	BUY	99.7¢	1.043	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 6?	BUY	99.7¢	1.013	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on March 5?	BUY	97.3¢	1.408	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on March 3?	BUY	96.9¢	1.29	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 2?	BUY	99.7¢	1.103	Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 4?	BUY	99.0¢	1.465	Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on March 1?	BUY	99.5¢	2.261	Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C or below on March 2?	BUY	98.6¢	1.4	Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 72°F or higher on March 2?	BUY	99.0¢	1.212	Feb 28
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on February 28?	BUY	99.0¢	1.051	Feb 28
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C on February 28?	BUY	98.0¢	1.194	Feb 28
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on February 28?	BUY	99.8¢	1.894	Feb 28
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on February 28?	BUY	97.4¢	1.263	Feb 28
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on February 27?	BUY	98.0¢	1.857	Feb 27
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on February 28?	BUY	99.0¢	1.051	Feb 27
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C or higher on February 27?	BUY	99.6¢	1.205	Feb 27
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C or higher on February 27?	BUY	95.5¢	1.11	Feb 27
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C or higher on February 26?	BUY	99.5¢	1.116	Feb 26
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 32°C on February 26?	BUY	95.2¢	1.712	Feb 26

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing35.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.96

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)32.5%

Win Consistency69.2%

Profit Factor0.93

Drawdown Resilience0.75

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.75

Weekly Sharpe est.0.57

Trading Activity30 trades · 11 active days

P&L Calendar

$390d profit11d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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