0x107bA2620D9076bf8BEc9a58F2ABc6C54B02Ca8A-1765546282574

0x107ba2...02ca8a
Smart Score
18
Win Rate
100.0%
Total P&L
+$1
Trade Count
74
Sharpe Ratio
-1.22
Sortino Ratio
-1.04
Max Drawdown
134755.5%
ROI
0.2%
Profit Factor
10.00
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
018/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C or below on March 5?BUY99.9¢21.371Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 3?BUY99.9¢10.541Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on March 2?BUY99.9¢10.531Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY99.8¢10.521Mar 2
Zhang Youxia seen in public by February 28?BUY99.9¢10.5Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?BUY99.9¢10.49Feb 27
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on February 26?BUY99.9¢10.48Feb 26
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on February 26?BUY99.9¢10.47Feb 26
Will Jensen Huang attend the 2026 State of the Union address?BUY99.9¢10.46Feb 24
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 47°F or below on February 22?BUY99.6¢10.452Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on February 21?BUY99.9¢10.41Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 21?BUY99.8¢10.401Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on February 20?BUY99.9¢10.38Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C or higher on February 20?BUY99.9¢10.37Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on February 20?BUY99.7¢10.36Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on February 19?BUY99.9¢10.33Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on February 19?BUY99.7¢10.311Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 18?BUY99.9¢10.28Feb 18
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 5°C on February 19?BUY99.9¢10.27Feb 18
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 5°C on February 18?BUY99.9¢10.26Feb 18
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%100%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing18

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.99
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.4%
Win Consistency29.7%
Profit Factor0.47
Drawdown Resilience0.38
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.38
Weekly Sharpe est.0.29
Trading Activity74 trades · 46 active days
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P&L Calendar
$7680d profit46d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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