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0x10fC38e9755a9c35B59795D417caDdE9236dc951-1768116940971

0x10fc38...6dc951
Smart Score
58
Win Rate
83.3%
Total P&L
+$247
Trade Count
21
Sharpe Ratio
2.81
Sortino Ratio
39.20
Max Drawdown
143.5%
ROI
11.2%
Profit Factor
1009.98
Kelly Fraction
0.833
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
058.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY15.5¢645.434Mar 5
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?SELL86.0¢472.5Mar 5
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY80.0¢472.5Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?SELL18.1¢872.85Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY8.0¢125Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY7.0¢142.857Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY8.0¢605Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?SELL91.9¢310Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY79.0¢40Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY79.0¢150Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY79.0¢20Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY79.0¢100Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?SELL82.0¢300Mar 3
US forces enter Iran by March 7?BUY5.0¢40Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY81.0¢100Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY79.0¢192Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY79.0¢8Mar 3
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?BUY1.5¢70Mar 1
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?BUY49.0¢5Feb 27
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?BUY44.0¢60Feb 27

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%29%< 10%6%10–20%6%20–30%12%30–50%50–70%35%70–80%12%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active58.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.20
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)53.0%
Win Consistency42.9%
Profit Factor1.51
Drawdown Resilience1.22
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.22
Weekly Sharpe est.0.93
Trading Activity21 trades · 5 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$171d profit4d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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