0x114966...243199

Smart Score

Win Rate

91.0%

Total P&L

+$24

Trade Count

304

Sharpe Ratio

-0.88

Sortino Ratio

-0.72

Max Drawdown

2747.1%

ROI

3.3%

Profit Factor

1.53

Kelly Fraction

0.314

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

016.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on March 6?	BUY	97.0¢	1.773	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 5?	BUY	65.0¢	7.2	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 1°C on March 6?	BUY	99.8¢	2.295	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 2°C on March 6?	BUY	99.6¢	1.767	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 1°C on March 6?	BUY	99.8¢	1.794	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on March 6?	BUY	98.6¢	1.491	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 5?	BUY	94.0¢	3	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 3°C on March 6?	BUY	97.0¢	2.443	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 1°C on March 6?	BUY	99.8¢	1.493	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on March 6?	BUY	79.0¢	2.924	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on March 5?	BUY	99.8¢	1.483	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 5?	BUY	48.0¢	2.938	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 5?	BUY	81.0¢	2.481	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C or higher on March 5?	BUY	58.6¢	5.068	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 5?	BUY	50.0¢	3.02	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 5?	BUY	90.0¢	5.667	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 6?	BUY	98.0¢	4.49	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 1°C on March 6?	BUY	98.5¢	4.497	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C or below on March 6?	BUY	99.8¢	1.483	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 6?	BUY	98.0¢	1.48	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing16.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.89

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)14.6%

Win Consistency52.5%

Profit Factor0.42

Drawdown Resilience0.34

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.34

Weekly Sharpe est.0.26

Trading Activity304 trades · 11 active days

P&L Calendar

$7120d profit11d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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