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0x116f03...392737

0x116f03...392737
Smart Score
35
Win Rate
78.1%
Total P&L
+$44.0K
Trade Count
155
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03
Sortino Ratio
-0.03
Max Drawdown
4716.7%
ROI
3.6%
Profit Factor
15.50
Kelly Fraction
0.731
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
034.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will MAIS win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?SELL99.9¢1.92Feb 28
Will Solana dip to $30 in January?BUY99.9¢65.55Jan 11
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?BUY99.4¢100.604Dec 1
Blue Jackets vs. DevilsBUY57.0¢8Dec 1
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?BUY99.7¢80.742Nov 20
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 November 17-23?BUY99.6¢12.048Nov 20
Will Oracle be the most valuable company on October 31?BUY99.9¢7.907Oct 2
Will Ethereum dip to $3,400 September 29-October 5?BUY99.9¢5.105Oct 2
Will "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $52m?BUY99.0¢5.152Sep 5
Solana above $250 on September 5?BUY99.9¢3.803Sep 5
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?BUY99.6¢10.51Aug 21
Will MAIS win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?BUY98.7¢1.925Aug 5
Will Charles Leclerc finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?BUY99.9¢6.306Aug 5
Will XRP dip to $1.50 in August?BUY98.7¢5.066Aug 5
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the AL West Division?BUY99.8¢7.615Jul 24
Will Bryce Harper win the 2025 NL MVP?BUY99.9¢4.704Jul 24
Will Max Fried win the 2025 AL Cy Young?BUY98.4¢5.488Jul 24
Will Dylan Cease win the 2025 NL Cy Young?BUY99.8¢6.713Jul 24
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2400 on July 14?BUY99.9¢2.112Jul 13
Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?BUY99.7¢2.909Jul 13

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%8%< 10%3%10–20%5%20–30%7%30–50%12%50–70%3%70–80%3%80–90%58%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing34.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.91
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)31.6%
Win Consistency66.7%
Profit Factor0.90
Drawdown Resilience0.73
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.73
Weekly Sharpe est.0.56
Trading Activity49 trades · 22 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$9961d profit21d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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